#macro #trend #SP500 $ES_F Naked Calls : entry #2

With 10 days left to expiration, the previous 2905 /ES naked call has about zero chance to finish in the money.  SP500 is having an uptrend day thus providing a chance to renew the short position. This is a macro-trend trade based on the idea that in rising rate environment SP500 has a limited potential for a rapid appreciation.  In this case,  theta decay is the right instrument to play around.

Exec Time	Spread	Side	Qty	Pos Effect	Symbol	Exp	Strike	Type	Price	Net Price	Order Type
6/1/2018 11:47	SINGLE	SELL	-1	TO OPEN	/ESU8 1/50 JUL 18 (Wk3)	/EW3N8	2915	CALL	1.1	1.1	LMT

  

Uranium $URA : 33 delta naked put

IV is ~ 30%; the order was filled 1 penny below the mid price.

Exec Time	Spread	Side	Qty	Pos Effect	Symbol	Exp	Strike	Type	Price	Net Price	Order Type
5/30/2018 14:03	SINGLE	SELL	-1	TO OPEN	URA	20-Jul-18	13	PUT	0.29	0.29	LMT

#SP500 #daytrading $ES_F : 4 points

Playing time frames: Good ole follow the trend trade combined with good ole contrarian trade.

The trade was posted live @tfo_medved.

Exec Time	Spread	Side	Qty	Pos Effect	Symbol	Exp	Strike	Type	Price	Net Price	Order Type
5/29/2018 11:30	FUTURE	BUY	1	TO CLOSE	/ESM8	18-Jun		FUTURE	2698	2698	LMT
5/29/2018 11:28	FUTURE	SELL	-1	TO OPEN	/ESM8	18-Jun		FUTURE	2702	2702	LMT

#soybean : take $100 profit

 The trade idea was based on a commonsensical approach to  Sino-American Trade War of 2018.

Exec Time	Spread	Side	Qty	Pos Effect	Symbol	Exp	Strike	Type	Price	Net Price	Order Type
5/25/2018 12:52	SINGLE	BUY	1	TO CLOSE	/ZSQ8 1/50 AUG 18	/OZSQ8	920	PUT	1.25	1.25	LMT

The trades are posted live @tfo_medved.

#trend #trade #Bonds #ZB_F short naked call

This is a trend trade. The assumption here is that bearish to neutral trend in long-term /ZB bonds will prevail in rising rates environment.  This is a follow-up bet after the first successful one.

Exec Time	Spread	Side	Qty	Pos Effect	Symbol	Exp	Strike	Type	Price	Net Price	Order Type
5/25/2018 11:01	SINGLE	SELL	-1	TO OPEN	/ZBU8 1/1000 SEP 18	/OZBU8	153	CALL	0''07	0''07	LMT

#Uranium #trade : scaled in

Uranium market is slowly turning from Bear to Bull. This is a long-term process. Hence one needs a lot of patience while building the position. Today I have doubled my still very modest  $URA holdings.

Exec Time	Spread	Side	Qty	Pos Effect	Symbol	Exp	Strike	Type	Price	Net Price	Order Type
5/23/2018 11:19	STOCK	BUY	100	TO OPEN	URA			ETF	13.34	13.34	LMT

The first lot was bot @13.82.

in a market sell-off, #liquidity providers will not be there

Zerohedge and Goldman warned :

"liquidity disruptions could and will lead to unexpected market aberrations, such as exorbitant bid/ask margins, inability to unwind large block positions, and last but not least, explosive volatility: in essence a recreation of the market conditions approximating the days of August 2007, and the days post the Lehman collapse..."